It's difficult to guess whether LHC will succeed in its effort to put Prop. 8 to a vote. But it is woefully underprepared to launch an advocacy campaign that can outgun the opposition. LHC is pretty short on cash; whereas Equality California received $3.2 million in contributions in 2010, LHC says it has only $500,000. The results of a recent poll--in which 48 percent of Californians said they supported gay marriage, 43 percent opposed it, and 9 percent were unsure--might give gay-rights supporters hope. But public opinion was also on the side of gay-marriage advocates in 2008, when well-funded and organized gay-marriage opponents blindsided the poorly prepared opposition to pass Prop. 8. If LHC does succeed in getting a Prop. 8 repeal on the ballot, they'll need to ramp up their fundraising efforts to avoid a repeat disappointment.